A cyclonic storm named ‘Komen’ over the northeast Bay of Bengal
A cyclonic storm named ‘Komen’ over the northeast Bay of Bengal which was centred about 80 km southwest of Chittagong
A cyclonic storm named ‘Komen’ over the northeast Bay of Bengal which was centred about 80 km southwest of Chittagong and 300 km east-southeast of Kolkata this morning has since been moving north-northwestwards and is to cross Bangladesh any time in the afternoon of today(30.07.2015). After landfall, it would move west-northwestwards and weaken gradually into a deep depression this evening and into a depression tomorrow.
Squally winds of speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph would prevail along and off West Bengal & north Odisha coasts during next 48 hours.
Squally winds of speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph would prevail over Mizoram and Tripura commencing from today evening for next 24 hours and over Gangetic West Bengal from tomorrow morning.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea along & off West Bengal and north Odisha coasts during the same period.
As a result of this cyclone and depression rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places and extremely heavy at isolated places would occur over the Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha over next three days.
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places would occur over Mizoram, Tripura and south Assam on today and tomorrow.
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places would occur over Jharkhand tomorrow and the day after.
On the other hand the depression over West Rajasthan & neighbourhood weakened but continued rainfall at many places with isolated heavy rainfall over Gujarat region, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli and Saurashtra, Kutch & Diu and over West Madhya Pradesh during next 48 hours.
Rainfall would also occur at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Rajasthan during next 24 hrs and isolated heavy rainfall during subsequent 24 hrs.
Squally winds of speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph would prevail along and off West Bengal & north Odisha coasts during next 48 hours.
Squally winds of speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph would prevail over Mizoram and Tripura commencing from today evening for next 24 hours and over Gangetic West Bengal from tomorrow morning.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea along & off West Bengal and north Odisha coasts during the same period.
As a result of this cyclone and depression rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places and extremely heavy at isolated places would occur over the Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha over next three days.
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places would occur over Mizoram, Tripura and south Assam on today and tomorrow.
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places would occur over Jharkhand tomorrow and the day after.
On the other hand the depression over West Rajasthan & neighbourhood weakened but continued rainfall at many places with isolated heavy rainfall over Gujarat region, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli and Saurashtra, Kutch & Diu and over West Madhya Pradesh during next 48 hours.
Rainfall would also occur at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Rajasthan during next 24 hrs and isolated heavy rainfall during subsequent 24 hrs.
*****************
Thus, we can expect Komen to weaken in next 24 hours, which will be one of the shortest duration as a tropical storm.
Heavy to extremely heavy rains will be lashing coastal areas and off-shore islands of Bangladesh, which are likely to be inundated by storm surge. Local authorities have issued a flood alert of danger signal number 7 over the districts of Cox’s Bazar, Noakhali, Feni, Chandpur and many more.
Heavy rainfall along with high velocity winds will also be pounding regions of Gangetic West Bengal and coastal areas of North Odisha, creating flood-like situation.
According to Skymet, development of cyclone during Monsoon season is not very common. As per the statistics, there has been only one cyclone reported during July since 1981, which was in 1992 near Odisha coast.
Komen has been little different in nature as compared to other cyclones. Firstly, it is in very close proximity to the coast, whereas cyclones usually gain strength in deep waters, far away from the coast. Secondly, most of the storms in Bay of Bengal originate west of 90°E, but Komen is centered at 91.2°E. Moreover, track of these cyclones is between 20°N and 25°N. But model data indicates that as the system travels inland, Komen will move below 20°N.
Post a Comment